- Title
- Modelling fossil fuels production to 2100
- Creator
- Mohr, Steve H.; Evans, Geoffrey M.
- Relation
- Chemeca2008. Chemeca2008: towards a sustainable Australasia (Newcastle, N.S.W. 28 September - 1 October, 2008) p. 1285-1292
- Relation
- http://www.chemeca2008.com/abstract/189.asp
- Publisher
- Engineers Australia
- Resource Type
- conference paper
- Date
- 2008
- Description
- The developed countries highlight the global dependence on fossil fuels for both power/heating and transport needs. This article predicts the production of these fuels for the next hundred years. A model of unconventional oil and coal production is described, along with literature work on conventional oil and natural gas. Unconventional oil production is estimate to be incapable of mitigating conventional oil peaking in 2013, however does cause production to undulate, with a second peak in 2055. Combined fossil fuel production is estimated to peak in 2052, with the gap between supply and demand in 2050 being 11 times current Australian fossil fuel consumption. [Note: title in contents of Proceedings CD-Rom is listed as 'Modelling transport fuels to 2100'].
- Subject
- global dependence; fossil fuels; oil; natural gas
- Identifier
- uon:6269
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/1959.13/803012
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